NHC issuing advisories on TS ARLENE
Arlene - First Named Atlantic TS 2011
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GOES-13 captured an image of the clouds associated with the low called System 95L on June 28 at 1345 UTC (9:35 a.m. EDT) over the Yucatan Peninsula. Cuba is seen to the right, and the U.S. Gulf coast is north (top) Credit: NASA/NOAA GOES Project |
NASA Satellites captured this image of a forming storm, 95L, in the Gulf of Mexico on the morning of June 28th. This storm later became the first Tropical Storm of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
The storm is expected to head inland to Northeastern Mexico early on Thursday, prompting tropical storm warnings. The storm should quickly lose strength over land, and it is expected to dissipate on Friday, but not after dropping some heavy rainfall in the area.
The current forecast calls for rain accumulation of 4 to 8 inches with some isolated areas receiving as much as 15 inches. The Mexican states of Tamaulipas, Veracruz, and Eastern San Luis Potosi are in the sites of TS Arlene at this time.
We don't expect this tropical storm to impact cruise schedules as it will be short lived. It does remind all of us that we are in the early months of Hurricane Season and need to be vigilant and be ready to react to changing weather conditions if traveling in the area.
The storm is expected to head inland to Northeastern Mexico early on Thursday, prompting tropical storm warnings. The storm should quickly lose strength over land, and it is expected to dissipate on Friday, but not after dropping some heavy rainfall in the area.
The current forecast calls for rain accumulation of 4 to 8 inches with some isolated areas receiving as much as 15 inches. The Mexican states of Tamaulipas, Veracruz, and Eastern San Luis Potosi are in the sites of TS Arlene at this time.
700 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011
...ARLENE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO EARLY TOMORROW...
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.8N 95.2W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO
BAHIA ALGODONES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST UNTIL LANDFALL ON THURSDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
TAMAULIPAS...VERACRUZ...AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
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